Hey folks, it’s Sunday night and the market is on the move! I can’t believe another week/weekend has come and gone! I hope you all had a great week and a somewhat fun weekend, that’s important. The entire reason I have a dog (besides my wife told me we were getting one) is that dog remind me of the good old simple pleasures. My dog is perfectly happy hanging his little fury head out the window while we drive down the road, some how that keeps me in check. Anyway, enjoy your weekends and don’t let this market consume you!
Ok, onto BUSINESS!
There’s been lots of economic news out this past week and the markets have been just about everywhere and now they seem to be sitting on a decision point. As of this writing I don’t know that the markets have a major sense of direction. I did enter a sell position on the EUR/USD just earlier at 1.3187 and exited at 1.3125. It was a quick trade but that’s all I see this market capable of at this point.
EUR/USD
My take on this currency pair is still BUY. I’m currently looking for more buy entries on this pair and this quick dip down looks like it was dedicated to mostly achieving a Fib retracement. The most recent run up has had a pull back of nearly 50% on the Fib levels. We also see the Stochastic levels on the 1h chart completely oversold so I’ll be looking for that buy entry from this point. I think the new found uptrend will hold for a bit more. After the double bottom at just below the 1.2900 level and a strong run up from there, I’m looking for this pair to hold its gains and continue to the top of the summer channel at/around 1.3600.
GBP/USD:
As for this pair, I’m staying out. After a top out at the 1.5000 level around the 16th of this month, it made a large quick drop and then spend most of last week consolidated in a small channel. Most of the GBP pairs are standing on shaky ground as for their direction. The GBP/USD is showing it’s ugly choppy summer face, we will see this across the array of pairs as the summer goes on. The GBP is currently showing those signals so until we get some clear direction I’ll probably sit on the sidelines until the movement smooths out.
As for the rest of the pairs, I’m not seeing anything particular interesting at this point. I need to see how the market fairs over the next several hours so I can get a feel for where things might be heading. But as always, the EUR/USD and GBP/USD are my focuses and i the the EUR is making the most consistent moves so I’ll focus on that one for the first part of this week.
I will be posting the daily trades starting again tomorrow and it will not be limited to the EUR/USD and GBP/USD, i’ll be watching several pairs and as i see things set up i’ll post them. Also, I’ll be posting some additional information regarding the state of the economy as it pertains to the market.
Good luck and happy trading,
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Jared J.