Hi All,
I haven’t had LARGE amounts of time today to look at the charts due to some MUCH needed time off for the weekend. So I’m just having my first look at the markets since the close on Friday, so it’s going to take a few hours this evening and tomorrow to get a good feel for where the market is headed. One thing is for sure, the Yen pair are moving and it looks like the continuation of the uptrend is back (upward movement on the JPY pairs, this means JPY weakness). So I’ll be watching those pretty close, along with the EUR/USD which seems to be bouncing nicely off the bottom of the summer channel headed for the top at 1.3600 to 1.3750. But I have a lot to say about all that is coming and I’m traveling tonight so i’ll get updated on the market and post the final beginning of the week update Monday afternoon.
More to come Monday, but for now enjoy the end of the weekend and lets prepare for an exciting week to come.
UPDATED, CONTINUED FROM SUNDAY…..
POSTED 5/4/09, 10:45PM PST
Ok folks, there’s LOTS of economic news to be considered in the movements of these currency pairs but in the interest of time we’re going to cut to the chase, LEVELS and SHORT TERM TRENDS! We have the the JPY pairs making some solid movements up in continuation of the overall retracement from the big down run from late last year. My outlook on a weak’ish Yen continues and a steadily increasing uptrend is still a focus of mine.
Onto the details,
USD/JPY:
This pair is in a nice uptrend and has been following a consistent ascending trend line since mid January of this year. It’s facing some serious resistance just below the 101.00 level, it will be interesting to see when this area is broken. Watch for some continued downward movement from the 1h crossover, possibly to the 98.20 level, but from there I will be looking for continued upward movement.
AUD/JPY:
This pair is text book on predictable movements. I’ve been long in this pair for a few weeks now. It bottomed out at the 55.00 area back in Oct of last year and again in Feb of this year and has been following a nice ascending trend line since Feb. It’s reaching some serious resistance at the 73.50 area, a break above this level will be crucial to the continued upward movement. Specifically watch a break of the 73.55 level, that will be the one to enter a buy as it breaks.
EUR/JPY:
The JPY pairs will, for the most part, follow each other so watch for this one to be “going with the flow.” Watch for this 1h crossover down, this pair has the potential to reach the 130.75 area in the near term. Keep an eye on that, but likewise watch for the break of the upper level of 132.85, this in an important upper level that will trigger some bursts of UP energy.
EUR/USD:
As far as this pair goes, it’s been a little boring lately with some tight channels but it’s been fairly consistent. So I’m watching for the uptrend to continue to the top of the channel, breaking the 1.3400 level is crucial for this pair to finally make it to the 1.3600-1.3750 area. I’m watching for this uptrend to continue over the near term.
GBP/USD:
This pair is behaving very interesting, it looks more determined than ever to break that 1.5000 level once and for all. I’m holding out for a bounce but I won’t be entering either direction until I can get some extra confirmation of a bounce or break of that 1.50 area. So keep your eyes open and trade the market we have, not the market we want so lets be open to what the indicators are telling us. This upper level could be broken, the EUR/USD channel is holding perfectly but this one is showing some characteristics of breaking out. We’ll see how it goes…….
Good luck and stay posted on the upcoming live trades this week and the movements from this post.
Happy trading,
Jared J.