And it’s UPDATE time….
April 25th, 2010Hi Everyone,
It’s time for my long overdue update on here, it’s been long enough that’s for sure. I’ve been dedicating all my time lately to trading and have zero energy left to update the blog, but I’m back on track so I’ll have daily updates on here again.
Lets get to business, the markets have been interestingly choppy and fun to try and determine the nearest term direction over the past about two weeks. I don’t think we’re out of the woods yet, there is likely to be more crazy movement this coming week but I think there should be plenty of opportunity to set pending orders and grab some slightly smaller profits out of the market still. I’ve talked about summer trading conditions countless times and how we must look for smaller profits during those times to account for the lack of volume and volatility in the market. This week is likely to give us some more of those conditions, but that’s ok we’ll just have to offset things with some smaller profit targets and look for shorter runs across the various pairs.
This week we have some pretty important announcements coming including the FOMC announcement (interest rate announcement for the US) and the GDP for the US as well, not to mention interest rate announcements for other countries such as New Zealand among others. So it should be an active and exciting week in the market.
Currently we’re seeing the GBP continue to the side of strength on both GBP/USD and GBP/JPY pairs, while the EUR pairs remain lackluster in their movement. The Euro situation is far from over although the Finance Minister of Greece, George Papaconstantinou, sounds more than confident that things will be resolved and anyone betting against Greece will “lose their shirts” there’s still plenty of doubt that everything will end up so peachy dandy. Greece has until about mid May to get this situation resolved or get ultimately flushed down the proverbial toilet. As positive as the Greek Finance Minister tries to sound, there’s still time for this thing to crumble and leave them in major trouble.
Two points of view must be considered, here’s what Greek officials are saying about the current situation:
The Positive News About Greece (wall street journal/market watch)
Part Two on Greece (bloomberg)
Now I agree with many aspects of this article and I ultimately think the EU will do anything in their power to save the reputation of their Union even if it means throwing endless amounts of money at Greece to save their bacon.
However, here are some other looks at how things could potentially go in this situation:
The Other Side Of the Greek Bailout Story
But again, I say time will tell obviously and as we get closer to the final date of everything of course things will be clearer, right now there’s just LOADS of speculation. So get informed, be informed and STAY informed and the rest won’t come as such a surprise.
Enough on Greece, I’m tired of talking about it but it’s by far some of the most important news regarding the EURO and will have endless influence on the direction of that currency for the next several days/weeks, it’s important to keep watch.
Over the next day or so I’ll post much more information about the GBP which is continuing to take ground against a the JPY and USD, it’s going to likely be the winner over the next few days/weeks so as more official news surfaces regarding it, I’ll post the details.
Until then, good luck and remember to look for smaller profits and shorter runs until the market either shows us consistently longer runs or just breaks out of this pre-summer channel. I’ll keep you all up to date on that as conditions change. But with this and several other pairs we should still have some GREAT movement and PLENTY of opportunities for pips and profit this week.
Good luck to all,
Jared J.


